I have been seeing interesting reports from NAFO OSINT Boffin @MattPPea and tonight I got a look at the actual GPT that is producing this material.
For those newly arrived in the last forty years or so, W.O.P.R., the War Operation Plan Response, is the AI in the movie War Games, the first movie about hackers. That movie is also the source of the working name for the puzzle I’m working on with Cicada 3301 - Shall We Play A Game?
This article comes on the heels of last night’s Russia Attacks Poland, and W.O.P.R. HAS been getting things right in advance. Here’s the actual post.
The GPT has been trained with OSINT data as well as non-public stuff coming out of the Canine Intelligence Agency. As I was drafting this Matt shared another W.O.P.R. estimate with me.
While I can see the whole process that led to the estimate on trouble in Eastern Europe, the setup for such things is nontrivial. Much like the AI health tracker I built over the summer, there’s a lot of context to start and iterative data import is needed to sharpen conclusions. I’m asking for a howto on the process, we’ll have to wait and see if I can run one of these for myself.
Conclusion:
AI at the corporate level seems to be an unhealthy obsession. The recent MIT report indicating that 95% of business AI projects are failing to produce value does not surprise me, nor does the fact that employees of 90% of those businesses report their individual efforts are benefitting them.
AI has replaced a portion of our badly behaved medical industry for me, then provided a frisky programming intern who can make Python do what I want, rather than what I tell it. If Matt truly has a workable prediction system, which IS entirely plausible given his development skills and position in the scheme of things, it is as I had predicted some time ago.
AI is going to democratize wild talent; people who combine existing capabilities with the urge to do more are going to accomplish things that were previously only done by the unlucky few of us cursed with the organic version of this.
And I hope that adds up to a good thing, given that the military flights over Europe look like this in their morning hours.