This guy is a lifetime Republican strategist but he’s not a belligerent bozo, he’s one of the brains of the operation. Luntz is known for fusing traditional polling with carefully chosen focus groups. I watched my first video of him this cycle a few weeks ago and he related he could not even FIND undecided women between 18 to 29 for a focus group.
Roe v. Wade being overturned has been an electoral death sentence for Republicans, every special election since Dobbs has been a twenty point or more thrashing for the GOP.
Luntz is right in this video, however, this will come down to voter suppression games in seven states, thanks to a legacy of our first civil war - the Electoral College.